The investor went on a tweetstorm on Tuesday morning in response to a story from The Information’s Amir Efrati and Peter Schulz, which says top VC firms are spending less investing in early-stage startups than before.
“Why surprising? This has been going on for 3-6 months very acutely,” Rabois said in response to a tweet from writer Amir Efrati, who tweeted that he was surprised by the findings in his report.
Both Rabois’ tweetstorm and The Information’s report build on a growing narrative that winter is coming to Silicon Valley.
Investors are worried that these companies have been subsidized by easy VC money for too long. In many cases, their customer and usage numbers are going up because they’re using VC money to expand into new cities, but customer-acquisition costs remain high and many of them are bleeding money. Worse, mature markets like San Francisco and New York are starting to see some scary, weak customer-adoption numbers, which bodes poorly for these companies as they expand into other regions.
The public markets are more harsh than private markets. This means private investors need to reset their expectations, which leads to downward valuation pressure. Recently, Fidelity marked down its investments in both Snapchat and Dropbox, two private tech companies valued over $1 billion.